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Fiscal Vulnerability and Financial Crises in Emerging Market Economies (Occasional Paper (International Monetary Fund))

Richard Hemming, Axel Schimmelpfennig, Michael Kell




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 | #3971223 in eBooks |  2003-05-23 |  2003-05-23 | File type: PDF

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Fiscal problems have long been considered a central feature of financial--that is, currency, debt, and banking--crises. This paper addresses four questions: What are the fiscal causes of crises? Which fiscal vulnerability indicators help to predict crises? Can fiscal variables explain the severity of crises? And what are the fiscal consequences of crises? Its findings are based on statistical analysis of a large data set of fiscal variables for 29 emerging market economi...

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